Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LPT prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-28 3.676238 4.383176 5.170764 6.110536 7.198511 8.415490 9.876764
2025-10-05 2.811207 3.761277 4.927691 6.453431 8.383524 10.729727 13.781693
2025-10-12 2.217625 3.267524 4.664111 6.631770 9.301766 12.763639 17.550032
2025-10-19 1.847513 2.956878 4.536330 6.903598 10.305654 14.951959 21.694789
2025-10-26 1.509316 2.607384 4.270938 6.907024 10.893340 16.590903 25.213240
2025-11-02 1.200996 2.233333 3.892824 6.663926 11.057324 17.604235 27.896187
2025-11-09 0.966836 1.928658 3.563767 6.430716 11.178142 18.526283 30.480827
2025-11-16 0.823140 1.750167 3.407530 6.442407 11.663850 20.017230 34.015661
2025-11-23 0.707026 1.598184 3.269610 6.457806 12.141918 21.517126 37.660030
2025-11-30 0.601893 1.445661 3.104497 6.396846 12.471462 22.786889 41.011722
2025-12-07 0.489037 1.252912 2.831093 6.095786 12.336555 23.255056 43.057030
2025-12-14 0.420862 1.142969 2.702622 6.049529 12.649473 24.500265 46.485439
2025-12-21 0.361788 1.043165 2.582951 6.011743 12.986583 25.837625 50.217196
2025-12-28 0.342434 1.036361 2.662478 6.391638 14.165839 28.782208 56.998345
2026-01-04 0.311359 0.992843 2.653071 6.581280 14.984944 31.123110 62.848694
2026-01-11 0.288984 0.967613 2.681576 6.855232 15.997526 33.895493 69.664271
2026-01-18 0.254037 0.898955 2.595090 6.859813 16.449093 35.624062 74.641573
2026-01-25 0.212051 0.798672 2.412947 6.618529 16.350642 36.266882 77.594328
2026-02-01 0.177119 0.710309 2.245264 6.386827 16.244437 36.876883 80.509935
2026-02-08 0.156739 0.663717 2.180887 6.398476 16.678797 38.607029 85.721678
2026-02-15 0.139055 0.621482 2.121279 6.413791 17.120923 40.380116 91.121404
2026-02-22 0.121265 0.573620 2.036951 6.353202 17.377822 41.777576 95.838818
2026-03-01 0.099481 0.503334 1.872202 6.053966 17.031780 41.854341 97.836753